# AI verification proposal

A proposal built with the Proposal Explorer of the AI Verification Tech Map (https://trustbutveri.fyi/), from its records of 2026-10-08. Interactive version: https://trustbutveri.fyi/explorer/?mechanisms=M-0019,M-0010&onsite=no

How to read it: a claim is something one party wants to verify about another's AI hardware or software. A mechanism is a general technique for verifying claims; it is "aimed at" a claim when that is its direct purpose, and "supporting" when it contributes without being aimed at it. A claim is addressed when a mechanism in the proposal is aimed at it and is not excluded by the filters; addressed does not mean verified, so check that mechanism's readiness and open flaws. Readiness levels R0 to R4 describe one record's public evidence for its assessed use and are never combined. Definitions: https://trustbutveri.fyi/about/methodology/ (roles, properties and flaws) and https://trustbutveri.fyi/about/readiness/ (readiness levels).

## Filters

Filters apply to mechanisms only and describe the setting the proposal is for.

- **Verifier devices on site: Not allowed.** "Not allowed" removes mechanisms that need a retrofit device, such as a network tap or a sealed sensor. Some mechanisms need a device the verifier owns or trusts at the prover's facility, such as a network tap, a bandwidth limiter or a sealed sensor. Choose Not allowed when the setting rules that out. Inspectors are not covered.

19 of 25 mechanisms on the map pass these filters.

## Overview

One row per mechanism, read from its record. Open flaws: critical / significant / minor. The last three columns are the editors' reading of what the verifier sees.

| Mechanism | Readiness | Prover | Attack testing | Hardware | Open flaws | Weights | Inputs and outputs | Training data |
| --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- | --- |
| Chip registries and manufacturing records | R1 | Semi-trusted | Analysis | Existing features | 0 / 3 / 0 | not involved | not involved | not involved |
| On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters | R2 | Semi-trusted | Red-teamed | Existing features | 1 / 3 / 1 | depends | depends | depends |

## Claims

No claims chosen.

## Mechanisms

### Chip registries and manufacturing records

Recording each AI chip's identity and owner from the fab onwards, and cryptographically fixing manufacturing records, so that chips can be accounted for later. ([Chip registries and manufacturing records](https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/chip-registries-and-manufacturing-records/))

- Assessment: mechanism family.
- Readiness: R1 Proposed, assessed for a checkable record of which chips were made and who declared owning them.
- Claims in this proposal: none of them.
- Threat model: semi-trusted prover. Hardware: existing features. Prover cooperation: required. Attack testing: analysis. Category: Compute accounting & provenance.
- What the verifier sees: model weights not involved; inputs and outputs not involved; training data not involved. Records chip identities and owners; it does not handle model data.

### On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters

Uses timing, memory-residency and performance-counter signals measured on AI accelerators as evidence about which workloads they are running. ([On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters](https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/on-chip-telemetry/))

- Assessment: mechanism family.
- Readiness: R2 Demonstrated, assessed for workload evidence from GPU counters and timing, assuming authentic measurements.
- Claims in this proposal: none of them.
- Threat model: semi-trusted prover. Hardware: existing features. Prover cooperation: partial. Attack testing: red-teamed. Category: On-chip & hardware-enabled.
- What the verifier sees: model weights depends; inputs and outputs depends; training data depends. Counters do not read weights or data, but richer counters can leak secrets through side channels.


## Properties

**No new hardware needed**

- Chip registries and manufacturing records
- On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters


## Attack testing

Published attempts to break a system, including those that found failures. Testing history does not establish that open flaws are resolved.

**Testing history**

- Chip registries and manufacturing records: Analysis
- On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters: Red-teamed


## Limits

**Open critical flaws**

- Software-read telemetry can be forged by the operator (theoretical argument, in On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters; https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/on-chip-telemetry/#flaw-1) [6][8]. NVML-based classification assumes trustworthy telemetry. Without a tamper-resistant read path, an authenticated telemetry channel and secure boot of the monitoring software, an operator who controls the full software stack could forge counter values. Monfared et al. start from the same premise: current GPUs expose little trusted telemetry and can be modified or virtualized.

  Related mechanism: Hardware-enabled guarantees (flexHEG) and guarantee processors (R1, not in the proposal). A guarantee processor on the chip would give the tamper-resistant, authenticated telemetry path the flaw says is missing.

**Open significant flaws**

- Records cover only chips that were recorded (theoretical argument, in Chip registries and manufacturing records; https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/chip-registries-and-manufacturing-records/#flaw-1) [3][5]. A registry or commitment accounts only for chips entered into it. Cankaya asks how a verifier would know it had found all chips, or how much "dark compute" remains, and notes that a fraudulent original record would mean unregistered chips had been made in advance. Halstead and Larsen propose reconstructing earlier production by auditing upstream suppliers.

  Related mechanism: Remote detection of data centres (R1, not in the proposal). Looks for large data centres that were never declared, which a registry cannot show.
- Documents and serial numbers can be forged (theoretical argument, in Chip registries and manufacturing records; https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/chip-registries-and-manufacturing-records/#flaw-2) [2]. Avellar and Grunewald note that export documents can be forged, that companies can hide information behind obscure corporate structures, and that it may be possible to forge serial numbers on chips and racks. They recommend cryptographic attestation of a powered-on chip as an extra check.
- Insiders could alter records before they are fixed (theoretical argument, in Chip registries and manufacturing records; https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/chip-registries-and-manufacturing-records/#flaw-3) [3]. Cankaya argues that insiders who can photograph process secrets could also tamper with production records. A commitment makes changes after publication detectable, but it cannot show that the records were accurate when committed.
- Adversarially disguised fine-tuning partly evades classification (demonstrated attack, in On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters; https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/on-chip-telemetry/#flaw-2) [8]. Across 20 evasion strategy families in five monitor-evader rounds, the classifier's accuracy against the most challenging disguised workloads held out from training was 43–87%. White-box LoRA fine-tuning was the only evasion family detected less than half the time. The evaluation covered single nodes, PyTorch-level evasion and NVIDIA hardware.
- Timing challenges do not identify the individual chip (theoretical argument, in On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters; https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/on-chip-telemetry/#flaw-3) [6]. GEMM and VDF challenges can be answered by identical GPUs elsewhere, and floating-point fingerprints distinguish GPU models, not individual devices. GPU virtualization adds timing leakage that prevents attributing compute use.
- Counters leak information about protected workloads (theoretical argument, in On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters; https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/on-chip-telemetry/#flaw-4) [9][10]. Performance counters have been used as a side channel against TEEs, for example in CounterSEVeillance. NVIDIA disables performance counters in full confidential-computing mode, stating that they could provide an avenue for side-channel attacks. Richer counters for verification therefore pull against confidentiality.

**Open minor flaws**

- No quantified error rates or formal thresholds for timing primitives (open question, in On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters; https://trustbutveri.fyi/mechanisms/on-chip-telemetry/#flaw-5) [6]. Monfared et al. state that false-positive and false-negative rates are not quantified and leave hardware-specific formal thresholds to future work.

**Not yet demonstrated**

- Chip registries and manufacturing records: R1 Proposed, assessed for a checkable record of which chips were made and who declared owning them


## Possible additions

Mechanisms on the map, not in the proposal, that the records connect to an unaddressed or partly addressed claim, an open flaw or a dependency. Pointers, not recommendations: each brings its own readiness level and flaws, and none is claimed to close a flaw.

- **Hardware-enabled guarantees (flexHEG) and guarantee processors** (R1 Proposed, assessed for checking and enforcing training-compute limits on chips, against adversaries up to states)
  - Bears on the open critical flaw "Software-read telemetry can be forged by the operator" in On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters. A guarantee processor on the chip would give the tamper-resistant, authenticated telemetry path the flaw says is missing.
  - On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters waits on it: Shipping accelerators need a tamper-resistant, authenticated telemetry path.
- **Remote detection of data centres** (R1 Proposed, assessed for finding undeclared data centres above an agreed compute threshold)
  - Bears on the open significant flaw "Records cover only chips that were recorded" in Chip registries and manufacturing records. Looks for large data centres that were never declared, which a registry cannot show.
- **TEE remote attestation for AI workloads** (R3 In production, assessed for showing which software ran to a party that distrusts the operator holding the hardware)
  - On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters depends on it.


## Dependencies

**Missing prerequisites**

- TEE remote attestation for AI workloads (R3 In production, assessed for showing which software ran to a party that distrusts the operator holding the hardware), needed by On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters

**Blockers**

- Chip registries and manufacturing records: No AI chip registry operates, and covering re-exports would need cooperation from re-exporters and foreign governments that may not be feasible everywhere. (access & governance) [1][2]
- Chip registries and manufacturing records: Linking records to physical chips needs hard-to-spoof unique IDs and inspections. (hardware trust) [1][2][3]
- Chip registries and manufacturing records: Chips produced before a registry starts must be reconstructed from supplier records. (coverage & hidden compute) [3][5]
- On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters: Shipping accelerators need a tamper-resistant, authenticated telemetry path. (hardware trust; waits on Hardware-enabled guarantees (flexHEG) and guarantee processors) [7][8]
- On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters: NVIDIA's full confidential-computing mode disables the hardware performance counters its profiling tools use, so telemetry that needs them conflicts with it. (privacy & leakage) [9][10]
- On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters: Continuous challenge puzzles cost power and throughput on production workloads. (performance & compatibility) [6]
- On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters: Evaluation has not gone beyond single nodes, framework-level evasion and one vendor's hardware. (adversarial validation) [8]


## What the verifier sees

- Model weights: shown by none; depends on the design for On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters; hidden by none; not involved in Chip registries and manufacturing records; unspecified for none.
- Inputs and outputs: shown by none; depends on the design for On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters; hidden by none; not involved in Chip registries and manufacturing records; unspecified for none.
- Training data: shown by none; depends on the design for On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters; hidden by none; not involved in Chip registries and manufacturing records; unspecified for none.

## Implementations

- Chip registries and manufacturing records: none on the map
- On-chip telemetry from timing, memory and performance counters: none on the map

## Sources

1. Verifying International Agreements on AI: Six Layers of Verification for Rules on Large-Scale AI Development and Deployment, M. Baker et al. (2025). https://www.rand.org/pubs/working_papers/WRA4077-1.html
2. Near-Term Verification Methods for AI Chip Exports, B. Avellar & E. Grunewald (2026). https://www.iaps.ai/research/near-term-verification-methods-for-ai-chip-exports
3. TSMC most definitely has a golden record of all AI chips it made, N. Cankaya (2025). https://nacicankaya.substack.com/p/tsmc-most-definitely-has-a-golden
4. Hardware-Level Governance of AI Compute: A Feasibility Taxonomy for Regulatory Compliance and Treaty Verification, S. Ansari (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2604.04712
5. Covert AI Projects, B. Halstead & T. Larsen (2026). https://ai-2040.com/supplements/covert-ai-projects
6. Timing and Memory Telemetry on GPUs for AI Governance, S. K. Monfared et al. (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2602.09369
7. Guaranteeable Memory: An HBM-Based Chiplet for Verifiable AI Workloads, J. Petrie (2025). https://openreview.net/forum?id=uc79kOv0MV
8. Detecting Hidden ML Training With Zero-Overhead Telemetry, R. Rahman & S. Tajdari (2026). https://arxiv.org/abs/2606.19262
9. On TEEs for Privacy-Preserving Monitoring in AI Governance, Gloria Z (2026). https://techgov.intelligence.org/blog/on-tees-for-privacy-preserving-monitoring-in-ai-governance
10. NVIDIA Secure AI with Blackwell and Hopper GPUs (White Paper), NVIDIA (2025). https://docs.nvidia.com/nvidia-secure-ai-with-blackwell-and-hopper-gpus-whitepaper.pdf